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Weather Impact Alert | Severe weather possible Monday evening through Tuesday
Multiple rounds of storms will be possible. Here’s the latest on timing and primary threats.
AUSTIN, Texas — An active weather pattern is unfolding across Central Texas, and the KVUE Weather Team has issued a Weather Impact Alert through Monday evening and into Tuesday. Multiple rounds of storms are expected, with all forms of severe weather possible, including large hail, isolated tornadoes and flooding.
Several areas across the KVUE viewing area, including the rain-starved Austin metro, picked up heavy rainfall Monday afternoon. Additional scattered showers and storms remain possible through the evening, particularly before around 10 p.m.
Some of these storms could be strong to severe, with hail and localized flooding as the primary threats, especially in spots already saturated from earlier rainfall.
Attention then shifts westward, where the next wave of storms is expected to develop overnight. These will begin as isolated supercells west of the KVUE area but may organize into a larger complex that moves over our region during the overnight hours into Tuesday morning.
The Storm Prediction Center outlines a “slight” – Level 2 of 5 – severe weather risk for the KVUE area through the rest of Monday and Monday night. An “enhanced” – Level 3 of 5 – risk has been outlined just to the west.
High-resolution model guidance continues to indicate the potential for strong to severe storms impacting the Interstate 35 corridor and the Austin metro during the Tuesday morning commute, generally between 6 and 9 a.m.
Be sure to check in on the latest forecast before heading out the door in the morning. Large hail, damaging winds, isolated tornadoes and heavy rainfall will all be possible.
Storms are expected to move west to east through the first half of Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center outlines a slight severe weather risk for the majority of the KVUE area.
This morning round will occur ahead of a cold front, which is expected to push through the KVUE area during the afternoon and evening. As this happens, there may be another window for severe weather late Tuesday.
This second round remains more uncertain and will depend on how much the atmosphere is able to recover. If instability does build back in, isolated supercells may redevelop, particularly east of I-35, with the potential for all types of severe weather.
After Tuesday, a few lingering storms are possible on Wednesday, but the forecast trends drier and quieter into late week and the weekend.
The KVUE Weather Team will continue to monitor this evolving forecast closely.
In the meantime, the extended forecast is available below:
